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Ukrainian army recaptures vast territories: Latest developments in the war and negotiations

In a notable development on the ground in the ongoing war, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on Friday that the Ukrainian army in recapturing large areas of territory that had been under the control of Russian forces on the southern front, coinciding with the approach of the fourth anniversary of the full-scale Russian invasion that began in February 2022.

Field progress amid political stalemate

In a press statement, Zelensky confirmed that the counter-offensive launched by Kyiv's forces is ongoing and achieving tangible results, noting the liberation of approximately 300 square kilometers in the past few days. This military advance comes at a time of clear deadlock in diplomatic efforts, with peace talks remaining stalled due to fundamental differences in positions between Kyiv and Moscow, particularly regarding the future of the occupied territories.

The Donbas knot and the Russian position

The main sticking point in the stalled negotiations, recently mediated by the United States, revolves around the fate of the industrial Donbas region in eastern Ukraine. Moscow insists on the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from the region as a precondition for ending the war, a demand Kyiv categorically rejects. Zelensky stated, "The Americans and Russians are saying, 'If you want the war to end tomorrow, get out of Donbas,'" suggesting that Washington might pressure his country to accept this solution given the difficult situation on the ground and the economic challenges.

Russia views full control of Donbas as a key strategic objective, and seeks to achieve this through negotiations to avoid further casualties among its forces, or through military force if diplomacy fails, according to hints from the Kremlin.

Strategic importance and historical background

The Donbas region is considered the industrial heartland of Ukraine, containing a complex network of military fortifications built by the Ukrainian army over many years, making a complete breakthrough extremely costly for the Russian military. Since the outbreak of the conflict in 2014 and its escalation into a full-scale invasion in 2022, this region has become a major war of attrition, with tens of thousands of soldiers falling in its defense, giving it a political and national symbolism that prevents the Ukrainian leadership from easily relinquishing it.

Developments in the Russian-Ukrainian war

Kyiv's conditions: Security guarantees first

The Ukrainian president stressed that any talk of political settlements must be preceded by Ukraine receiving strong and clear security guarantees from its Western allies, primarily the United States. These guarantees include the deployment of European peacekeeping forces near the contact line immediately upon a ceasefire, to ensure that a Russian invasion is not repeated.

Zelensky concluded by emphasizing the principle of reciprocity in any military withdrawal, saying: "If we withdraw a certain distance, they must also withdraw," indicating his desire to negotiate from a "position of strength" that would guarantee the restoration of Ukrainian sovereignty.

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