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India's population census: The world's largest census begins tomorrow

Launch of the world's largest population census

India will launch the world's largest demographic census tomorrow, Wednesday, as Indian authorities begin implementing the nationwide population count. This strategic undertaking will cost an estimated $1.24 billion and will mobilize more than 3 million government employees to ensure coverage across the vast Indian subcontinent.

Historical context and impact of the coronavirus pandemic

The population census in India is a long-standing historical and administrative tradition. The first comprehensive and regular census dates back to 1881 during the British colonial period, and it has been conducted regularly every ten years ever since. This census was scheduled for 2021, but the COVID-19 pandemic led to its postponement. This will be the first census conducted in the post-pandemic era. The last census was conducted in 2011, which counted 1.21 billion people.

Demographic shift and global impact

This process is of paramount importance both regionally and internationally. According to United Nations estimates from 2023, India's population surpassed 1.42 billion, overtaking China to become the world's most populous country. This demographic shift grants India unprecedented geopolitical and economic weight, making the census data a compass for global companies, investors, and international decision-makers who view India as a massive consumer market and a young, influential workforce in global supply chains.

Economic opportunities and development challenges

Domestically, the large youth demographic in India represents a “demographic window” and a golden opportunity for significant economic development. However, this rapid population growth poses considerable challenges for the Indian government. Among the most prominent of these challenges are the need to create millions of jobs annually to absorb new entrants into the labor market, the increasing pressure on infrastructure, the need to provide adequate housing, ensure sustainable energy sources, and improve the education and healthcare sectors to guarantee a suitable quality of life for this vast population.

Census phases and logistical challenges

Due to the geographical and demographic complexities, this process presents enormous logistical challenges, necessitating its implementation in multiple phases. The first phase begins on Wednesday and focuses on counting the number of dwellings in all Indian states. This phase relies on modern technology through a dedicated smartphone application, alongside traditional fieldwork where government employees go door-to-door to collect data accurately.

Taking into account climatic conditions (snow season)

The actual population census will not begin until March 1, 2027, in most parts of the country. To ensure accuracy in areas with harsh terrain, the census in the Himalayas will begin on October 1, 2026, as a proactive measure to avoid the heavy snowfall that isolates those areas during winter and makes access nearly impossible.

First count of social classes

One of the most significant updates in this historic census is the move to identify the social classes to which the population belongs for the first time in modern censuses. Indian society has historically been based on a complex caste system rooted in Hinduism, which has long fueled discriminatory practices. Accurate data on these classes will help the government recalibrate its social welfare policies, allocate resources more equitably, and attempt to address the deep-seated socioeconomic inequalities within society.

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