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Trump and Iran: Awaiting Tehran's response to avoid escalation and a new war

Trump's position: Wait for a response and avoid escalation

In recent remarks, US President Donald Trump affirmed that he is not seeking a new war with Iran, indicating that he prefers to wait a few days for a suitable response from Tehran that would prevent any large-scale military escalation. According to Al Arabiya's official X account, Trump described Iran as a defeated nation, but simultaneously emphasized his complete readiness to take military action against it should he fail to receive an appropriate diplomatic or political response. Trump explained that his administration is currently dealing with figures in Iran who possess a rational mind, stressing that they must sign a comprehensive agreement. He reiterated his firm commitment not to ease any economic sanctions before the agreement is finalized, describing the sanctions policy imposed on Tehran as excellent and fruitful.

Iranian response: Accusations of seeking a new war

On the other hand, Iranian statements reflect a sense of apprehension and rejection of American pressure. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, stated that the United States is actively seeking to ignite a new war against his country. Ghalibaf asserted that Washington's true objective is to force the Iranian nation into complete surrender in this open confrontation, the chapters of which began months ago. Ghalibaf, who led his country's delegation in a previous round of talks in Islamabad, added that American actions, whether overt or covert, prove beyond any doubt that Washington has not abandoned its military objectives, despite the intense economic and political pressure campaigns. In an audio message broadcast by Iranian media, he emphasized that close monitoring of the internal situation in the United States reinforces the belief that the American administration is still betting on Tehran's capitulation, a prospect the Iranian leadership vehemently rejects.

The historical context of maximum pressure policy

To understand the implications of these exchanges in the Trump-Iran affair, we must return to the recent historical context. During Trump's first term, his administration made the decisive move in 2018 to unilaterally withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal (the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA), signed in 2015. Trump then adopted a strategy known as "maximum pressure," which included imposing successive rounds of harsh economic sanctions primarily targeting Iran's oil and banking sectors. This policy crippled the Iranian economy and caused an unprecedented decline in the value of the local currency. Tensions between the two countries reached a boiling point in early 2020 following the US airstrike that killed Qassem Soleimani, commander of the Quds Force, leaving the entire region on edge, fearing a full-blown regional war.

Potential regional and international repercussions

The current developments in US-Iranian relations carry significant strategic importance that extends beyond the borders of the two countries, impacting both the regional and international arenas. Regionally, the Middle East is experiencing instability, and any escalation between Washington and Tehran would immediately affect maritime security, particularly in the strategic Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately one-fifth of the world's oil supply passes. The Gulf states are also monitoring these developments very closely, striving to maintain regional stability and avoid any armed conflicts that could hinder their ambitious economic development plans. Internationally, global markets are highly sensitive to any threat of war in this vital region, which could lead to sharp fluctuations in energy prices. Furthermore, major powers such as China, Russia, and the European Union are closely following this complex situation, given its direct impact on global geopolitical balances and nuclear non-proliferation efforts.

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